Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +19 (98-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| George Hill * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson | 26 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Rodney Hood | 25 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tristan Thompson | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| JR Smith | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| London Perrantes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Holland | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ante Zizic | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Johnson * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Josh Richardson * | 30 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Mickey * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 25 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Dwyane Wade | 17 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rodney McGruder | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter