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2018-03-27

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 84.6% 15.4% -
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% -
Margin 58.9% 41.1% -2.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +10 (116-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patty Mills * 25 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 6 3 0 2 11 14 -
Danny Green * 23 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 8 4 -
Dejounte Murray * 23 3-8 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 6 5 -
Kyle Anderson * 18 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 1 0 7 10 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 17 4-6 0-0 5-6 4 2 0 1 1 13 13 -
Dāvis Bertāns 19 3-9 2-6 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 8 2 -
Tony Parker 18 2-6 1-1 2-4 2 3 1 0 0 7 7 -
Pau Gasol 18 4-10 0-1 2-3 6 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
Bryn Forbes 18 3-7 1-1 5-7 3 6 0 0 0 12 14 -
Joffrey Lauvergne 16 4-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
Rudy Gay 15 3-8 0-2 2-3 5 2 1 0 0 8 8 -
Brandon Paul 14 2-5 0-1 0-4 1 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
Manu Ginobili 11 1-4 1-2 0-2 0 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 27 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 6 1 1 3 7 7 -
Tomas Satoransky * 24 3-6 1-1 0-0 8 4 0 1 3 7 11 -
Marcin Gortat * 23 5-9 0-0 2-3 8 1 0 1 0 12 13 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 23 6-7 2-2 0-0 2 3 2 2 0 14 16 -
Markieff Morris * 16 7-7 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 15 9 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 28 4-9 0-4 4-4 9 4 0 1 0 12 17 -
Ramon Sessions 23 3-6 2-3 4-6 3 6 0 0 4 12 11 -
Ian Mahinmi 21 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 8 9 -
Mike Scott 21 5-12 1-3 0-0 7 4 0 0 2 11 8 -
Jodie Meeks 20 5-11 2-5 1-1 2 2 0 0 0 13 6 -
Jason Smith 6 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Tim Frazier 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter