Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (113-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| James Johnson * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 29 | 7-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 32 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 27 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Dwyane Wade | 26 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 19 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Oladipo * | 39 | 8-21 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 21 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Glenn Robinson III | 14 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
* = starter