Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +6 (105-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 32 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 30 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| James Johnson * | 28 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 26 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade | 19 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Rodney McGruder | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 37 | 3-16 | 0-6 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-2 | 9-10 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 31 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 31 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 20 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Terrance Ferguson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Raymond Felton | 14 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Alex Abrines | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter