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2018-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% - ✓
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 ✓ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.2% 62.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.2% 62.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Pacers +10 (110-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 39 3-10 3-8 3-3 7 1 1 1 2 12 10 -
Lonzo Ball * 37 1-4 1-4 1-2 2 8 2 0 4 4 8 -
Brook Lopez * 37 10-15 1-3 2-4 8 3 0 2 2 23 19 -
Kyle Kuzma * 36 10-18 3-10 4-5 8 1 0 0 1 27 17 -
Julius Randle * 34 9-19 0-0 3-5 9 3 1 0 1 21 14 -
Isaiah Thomas 25 4-14 0-5 3-4 3 3 0 0 1 11 2 -
Travis Wear 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Tyler Ennis 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Ivica Zubac 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thaddeus Young * 36 9-12 0-1 0-0 9 4 1 2 2 18 20 -
Darren Collison * 32 5-10 2-4 3-3 4 8 1 1 0 15 19 -
Victor Oladipo * 32 8-15 1-3 3-4 4 0 3 0 2 20 10 -
Myles Turner * 30 9-15 1-1 2-2 7 3 0 2 1 21 17 -
Bojan Bogdanović * 24 2-9 0-5 2-2 5 3 0 0 0 6 5 -
Cory Joseph 29 2-6 0-2 4-4 3 3 2 1 0 8 11 -
Lance Stephenson 29 6-13 2-5 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 16 9 -
Trevor Booker 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 2 7 -
Al Jefferson 7 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 2 0 4 4 -

* = starter