Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✗ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -1 (91-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Josh Richardson * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 31 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| James Johnson * | 24 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 31 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 24 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 19 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rodney McGruder | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Lonzo Ball * | 38 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 38 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 26 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Travis Wear | 14 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Ennis | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ivica Zubac | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter