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2018-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 88.6% 11.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.1% 21.9% - โœ“
Margin 79.2% 20.8% -7.4 โœ“ (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.6% 35.4% - โœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns -22 (107-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 33 7-14 1-2 13-15 12 11 3 2 5 28 37 -
Jeff Green * 27 4-12 1-3 2-2 4 1 3 3 1 11 9 -
George Hill * 26 3-9 2-6 2-2 3 2 2 0 2 10 6 -
Kyle Korver * 23 6-7 5-6 5-5 4 1 0 0 2 22 18 -
Larry Nance Jr. * 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
John Holland 28 1-7 0-3 0-0 7 2 0 2 2 2 4 -
Jordan Clarkson 26 8-14 6-10 1-2 0 1 2 0 2 23 10 -
JR Smith 22 5-12 2-4 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 14 8 -
Jose Calderon 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 2 8 -
Ante Zizic 14 5-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 3 11 9 -
London Perrantes 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Jackson * 34 6-15 1-3 6-8 3 1 4 1 2 19 11 -
Devin Booker * 33 7-16 0-3 3-3 3 6 1 0 5 17 6 -
T.J. Warren * 32 8-17 0-1 3-4 10 0 0 0 0 19 12 -
Dragan Bender * 23 2-9 1-5 2-2 5 3 0 1 1 7 6 -
Elfrid Payton * 23 4-10 0-3 2-3 4 7 1 0 5 10 7 -
Jared Dudley 20 1-4 1-3 2-2 9 0 2 0 1 5 11 -
Troy Daniels 17 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
Marquese Chriss 17 1-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 3 5 3 -
Tyler Ulis 14 0-6 0-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
Shaquille Harrison 11 4-6 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 10 6 -
Davon Reed 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Alex Len 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter