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2018-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“
Margin 16.5% 83.5% +8.9 โœ“ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +16 (99-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauri Markkanen * 26 3-12 0-3 0-0 8 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
Zach LaVine * 26 3-15 0-4 2-3 3 0 2 0 2 8 -4 -
Kris Dunn * 25 6-12 1-2 0-0 1 4 3 0 0 13 9 -
Justin Holiday * 12 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Robin Lopez * 12 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
Denzel Valentine 31 2-7 0-3 0-0 8 5 2 0 0 4 12 -
Bobby Portis 27 1-10 0-3 0-0 5 5 2 0 4 2 0 -
David Nwaba 23 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
Cameron Payne 22 6-10 4-6 1-1 1 0 2 0 2 17 8 -
Noah Vonleh 19 3-8 1-3 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
Cristiano Felicio 9 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
Antonio Blakeney 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Griffin * 34 9-17 3-7 4-4 8 8 0 0 3 25 21 -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 32 9-12 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 21 12 -
Ish Smith * 31 5-10 0-0 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 12 8 -
James Ennis III * 31 6-10 2-3 0-1 3 1 3 0 1 14 10 -
Andre Drummond * 29 2-7 0-0 1-4 17 1 1 4 0 5 21 -
Luke Kennard 31 2-9 1-6 5-5 6 4 0 1 2 10 10 -
Eric Moreland 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 3 3 8 12 -
Jameer Nelson 16 1-5 0-2 2-2 0 3 2 1 4 4 1 -
Anthony Tolliver 12 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Henry Ellenson 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Reggie Hearn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter