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2018-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% +6.6 ✓ (5.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 29.8% 70.2% - ✓
Margin 25.7% 74.3% +5.8 ✓ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +1 (108-107). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 35 11-20 4-6 2-7 14 2 0 1 3 28 22 -
Jonathon Simmons * 34 2-6 1-2 4-6 5 7 1 0 4 9 12 -
Nikola Vučević * 34 11-18 1-4 1-1 12 6 0 2 1 24 25 -
D.J. Augustin * 30 3-10 1-4 2-2 1 8 0 0 2 9 6 -
Evan Fournier * 19 5-6 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 11 10 -
Mario Hezonja 25 3-10 1-7 2-3 2 0 0 1 0 9 2 -
Shelvin Mack 19 3-7 3-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 9 3 -
Jonathan Isaac 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 2 4 -
Bismack Biyombo 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 2 5 -
Arron Afflalo 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Wes Iwundu 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 42 9-16 1-4 1-1 10 1 3 1 2 20 17 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 38 3-7 2-5 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 10 7 -
Lonzo Ball * 37 6-16 4-13 0-0 6 5 2 2 3 16 12 -
Brook Lopez * 34 12-18 1-4 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 27 11 -
Julius Randle * 30 6-11 0-0 0-1 11 3 0 0 2 12 13 -
Isaiah Thomas 25 5-12 3-6 0-0 3 9 0 0 2 13 11 -
Ivica Zubac 13 1-4 0-0 4-4 5 2 0 0 0 6 9 -
Alex Caruso 13 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 4 4 -
Thomas Bryant 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Travis Wear 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter