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2018-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 54.3% 45.7% -0.4 ✓ (2.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% - ✗
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 ✗ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 50.0% 50.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% - ✗

Actual: Washington Wizards -3 (95-98). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Oladipo * 39 11-20 2-4 9-10 7 3 3 0 1 33 25 -
Myles Turner * 38 4-12 1-5 3-3 13 3 1 0 0 12 17 -
Bojan Bogdanović * 37 7-12 3-5 3-3 4 0 2 0 2 20 12 -
Cory Joseph * 37 7-12 1-5 1-2 5 2 1 0 2 16 10 -
Thaddeus Young * 32 0-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 3 0 3 0 -1 -
Domantas Sabonis 18 2-6 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 4 8 4 -
Glenn Robinson III 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Joe Young 10 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
Lance Stephenson 9 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
T.J. Leaf 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 42 8-27 2-9 4-5 3 11 3 1 5 22 8 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 35 6-12 2-3 3-4 8 0 4 0 0 17 17 -
Markieff Morris * 27 5-7 2-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 12 13 -
Tomas Satoransky * 22 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 7 4 -
Marcin Gortat * 22 4-10 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
Jodie Meeks 25 1-6 1-5 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
Ian Mahinmi 23 3-5 0-0 2-4 9 1 0 1 3 8 11 -
Mike Scott 22 4-8 2-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 10 9 -
Tim Frazier 17 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter