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2018-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 41.7% 58.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - โœ“
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“

Actual: Orlando Magic +7 (107-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben McLemore * 38 8-14 2-5 2-4 7 4 1 0 0 20 18 -
JaMychal Green * 37 2-12 0-2 6-7 13 7 3 2 2 10 21 -
Dillon Brooks * 37 4-14 0-3 1-2 3 4 0 0 2 9 0 -
Jarell Martin * 34 7-12 1-2 4-7 11 2 0 0 1 19 19 -
Mario Chalmers * 28 5-11 3-6 2-2 1 3 2 0 0 15 10 -
Kobi Simmons 19 6-9 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 14 7 -
Ivan Rabb 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
Chandler Parsons 12 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 0 -
Brice Johnson 8 1-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 2 0 -
Myke Henry 7 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 32 4-8 0-1 6-7 8 2 2 2 3 14 17 -
Evan Fournier * 30 7-13 1-6 4-5 3 3 1 0 1 19 12 -
D.J. Augustin * 29 5-7 2-4 4-4 3 5 0 0 1 16 16 -
Jonathon Simmons * 28 3-5 2-2 3-4 6 1 0 0 2 11 11 -
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ * 27 8-14 1-2 2-5 6 2 0 1 0 19 14 -
Mario Hezonja 21 5-12 2-8 4-4 2 2 1 3 2 16 10 -
Shelvin Mack 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 4 0 0 2 6 6 -
Jonathan Isaac 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 3 0 0 6 -
Bismack Biyombo 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Rashad Vaughn 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Wes Iwundu 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Khem Birch 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Marreese Speights 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter