Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.6% | 35.4% | -2.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (130-123). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 37 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 9-16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 29 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 25 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 32 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 30 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ivica Zubac | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 26 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 24 | 8-11 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell | 26 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 23 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 21 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 14 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
* = starter