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2018-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 34.6% 65.4% - ✗
Margin 33.8% 66.2% +3.7 ✗ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 40.3% 59.7% - ✗

Actual: Boston Celtics -6 (91-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Oladipo * 36 15-29 2-8 3-4 10 2 5 0 5 35 18 -
Cory Joseph * 34 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 7 0 0 2 0 1 -
Thaddeus Young * 33 5-10 1-1 2-2 14 0 1 0 1 13 17 -
Myles Turner * 33 6-11 2-4 5-7 7 0 0 2 0 19 17 -
Bojan Bogdanović * 32 4-9 0-3 5-5 4 3 0 1 0 13 12 -
Lance Stephenson 26 2-7 0-1 2-2 8 4 0 0 2 6 9 -
Domantas Sabonis 19 2-7 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 2 5 3 -
Joe Young 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Al Jefferson 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 4 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 35 6-11 0-0 3-3 3 1 0 4 2 15 10 -
Kyrie Irving * 31 8-18 2-7 3-3 2 5 0 0 2 21 8 -
Al Horford * 29 4-7 2-2 0-0 8 4 1 1 2 10 15 -
Jaylen Brown * 28 7-13 2-7 0-2 1 1 1 0 2 16 4 -
Aron Baynes * 21 3-8 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
Terry Rozier 26 1-11 1-6 7-8 1 3 2 0 0 10 5 -
Marcus Morris Sr. 24 3-12 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 6 2 -
Daniel Theis 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 4 3 -
Semi Ojeleye 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
Greg Monroe 10 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Abdel Nader 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter