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2018-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% +6.3 โœ“ (10.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 โœ“ (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“

Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (121-104). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker * 33 6-13 3-6 5-6 3 4 1 0 2 20 13 -
Nicolas Batum * 31 5-11 3-7 2-4 4 5 0 0 1 15 12 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
Dwight Howard * 27 9-11 0-0 1-5 7 1 0 1 2 19 15 -
Frank Kaminsky * 22 4-8 1-3 0-2 2 3 1 0 1 9 6 -
Jeremy Lamb 25 5-11 1-4 3-3 3 2 2 0 0 14 10 -
Treveon Graham 25 4-7 3-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 11 9 -
Cody Zeller 17 2-3 0-0 4-4 10 1 0 0 2 8 14 -
Michael Carter-Williams 16 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
Johnny O'Bryant III 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Julyan Stone 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Dwayne Bacon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Malik Monk 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Barton * 33 7-10 2-3 2-2 2 8 1 1 1 18 19 -
Gary Harris * 33 9-13 5-7 4-5 1 2 1 0 2 27 16 -
Nikola Jokiฤ‡ * 32 5-11 2-4 3-3 16 7 2 0 3 15 26 -
Jamal Murray * 32 7-15 4-8 0-0 4 7 2 0 2 18 14 -
Wilson Chandler * 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
Torrey Craig 26 3-6 0-2 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 6 9 -
Trey Lyles 24 4-8 2-4 1-2 7 1 0 1 0 11 12 -
Emmanuel Mudiay 18 5-7 1-1 1-1 2 2 1 0 1 12 9 -
Darrell Arthur 13 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 10 8 -
Malik Beasley 1 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Juancho Hernangomez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter