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2018-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 54.7% 45.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 58.1% 41.9% - ✗
Margin 46.4% 53.6% +0.8 ✓ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 52.6% 47.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - ✓

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +7 (133-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Oladipo * 37 11-21 3-4 10-11 5 2 2 1 1 35 23 -
Bojan Bogdanović * 32 5-10 2-5 6-6 2 2 0 0 2 18 10 -
Myles Turner * 31 8-14 1-4 2-2 11 2 1 3 3 19 19 -
Thaddeus Young * 29 4-7 0-1 1-2 4 3 1 0 1 9 9 -
Darren Collison * 29 4-11 2-5 0-0 1 4 3 1 0 10 8 -
Cory Joseph 25 5-8 1-4 1-1 4 1 2 0 0 12 11 -
Lance Stephenson 23 5-11 3-6 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 15 6 -
Domantas Sabonis 16 2-4 0-0 4-4 3 2 1 1 1 8 10 -
T.J. Leaf 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Joe Young 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Al Jefferson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker * 41 11-22 5-12 14-14 3 9 0 0 4 41 27 -
Nicolas Batum * 34 11-18 7-11 2-2 9 2 0 0 1 31 23 -
Dwight Howard * 31 6-8 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 1 2 12 16 -
Frank Kaminsky * 29 4-8 2-5 5-7 6 5 0 0 3 15 15 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
Michael Carter-Williams 24 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 3 2 1 1 4 7 -
Jeremy Lamb 21 5-9 1-4 3-3 3 2 1 0 0 14 11 -
Cody Zeller 15 2-6 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 5 2 -
Treveon Graham 15 0-1 0-0 5-6 3 3 1 0 0 5 11 -

* = starter