Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✗ (30.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +30 (129-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 30 | 12-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Andre Iguodala | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| David West | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 16 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Nick Young | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Patrick McCaw | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Omri Casspi | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Rubio * | 35 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Joe Ingles * | 26 | 7-11 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 26 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 25 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Alec Burks | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Royce O'Neale | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Joe Johnson | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 13 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Raul Neto | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Georges Niang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter