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2018-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 65.6% 34.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 66.8% 33.2% - โœ—
Margin 59.1% 40.9% -2.0 โœ— (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +1 (108-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 38 13-24 4-11 3-3 3 4 0 0 1 33 15 -
Al Horford * 31 5-11 3-5 0-0 12 6 0 2 1 13 21 -
Jayson Tatum * 30 1-6 1-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 3 4 0 -
Jaylen Brown * 25 4-11 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 9 3 -
Aron Baynes * 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
Marcus Smart 33 7-13 4-10 4-4 2 8 1 0 1 22 19 -
Marcus Morris Sr. 26 6-11 1-4 0-1 7 0 0 2 1 13 10 -
Terry Rozier 23 4-7 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 9 6 -
Daniel Theis 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 4 6 -
Jarell Eddie 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 32 2-11 0-1 3-4 9 4 1 1 3 7 8 -
Julius Randle * 26 6-12 0-0 2-3 14 1 1 0 2 14 16 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 23 2-8 2-6 2-4 4 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
Brook Lopez * 14 5-10 0-4 2-3 2 0 0 1 1 12 4 -
Tyler Ennis * 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jordan Clarkson 34 8-17 0-4 6-7 5 4 2 0 2 22 14 -
Kyle Kuzma 26 10-16 5-7 3-5 4 3 0 0 0 28 19 -
Larry Nance Jr. 26 4-5 0-0 3-6 9 2 1 0 2 11 16 -
Josh Hart 23 2-4 0-2 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
Alex Caruso 18 0-4 0-2 0-2 0 1 1 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter