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2018-01-21

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% - ✓
Margin 30.7% 69.3% +4.5 ✓ (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 39.3% 60.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.6% 61.4% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +20 (127-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Lee * 33 7-12 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 16 6 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 29 5-12 5-9 2-3 3 0 0 1 0 17 9 -
Enes Freedom * 29 6-9 0-0 0-0 14 2 0 0 4 12 15 -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 28 7-13 2-2 1-3 4 1 1 1 0 17 11 -
Jarrett Jack * 25 3-11 0-4 0-0 3 10 1 0 3 6 6 -
Frank Ntilikina 17 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 7 5 -
Doug McDermott 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
Michael Beasley 13 7-9 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 17 8 -
Kyle O'Quinn 13 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 2 4 6 6 -
Ron Baker 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Lance Thomas 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 0 3 -
Willy Hernangomez 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
Trey Burke 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 4 4 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 36 11-17 0-1 5-6 12 5 1 0 2 27 26 -
Brandon Ingram * 24 4-13 0-2 2-3 2 3 0 0 1 10 1 -
Josh Hart * 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Brook Lopez * 14 5-9 4-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 14 8 -
Tyler Ennis * 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Jordan Clarkson 37 12-19 1-5 4-5 6 10 3 0 1 29 28 -
Larry Nance Jr. 31 5-9 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 2 0 13 13 -
Alex Caruso 30 4-6 1-1 0-0 4 8 2 0 0 9 17 -
Corey Brewer 22 3-6 1-4 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 7 10 -
Kyle Kuzma 10 6-8 2-4 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 15 7 -
Thomas Bryant 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Ivica Zubac 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Nigel Hayes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter