Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +6 (115-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 14-25 | 6-10 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 25 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Delon Wright | 28 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Pascal Siakam | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| CJ Miles | 15 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Fred VanVleet | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Lucas Nogueira | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Gibson * | 40 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 36 | 11-21 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 12 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 33 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 27 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Georges-Hunt | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter