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2018-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 45.5% 54.5% +1.3 βœ— (10.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% - βœ—
Margin 45.9% 54.1% +0.9 βœ— (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 46.4% 53.6% - βœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -9 (80-89). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 40 1-5 1-4 2-2 2 2 1 1 3 5 3 -
Ben Simmons * 34 4-9 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 0 3 8 8 -
Joel Embiid * 34 10-19 0-1 6-7 16 6 1 2 4 26 28 -
Dario Šarić * 33 6-14 2-5 2-2 6 2 3 0 4 16 9 -
Jerryd Bayless * 24 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
T.J. McConnell 25 5-8 2-2 3-4 2 2 3 0 4 15 10 -
Justin Anderson 16 1-5 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
Trevor Booker 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Amir Johnson 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 4 5 -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 4-11 1-3 2-4 4 0 2 2 2 11 6 -
Al Horford * 34 5-11 1-4 3-4 3 3 1 2 3 14 9 -
Marcus Smart * 34 6-11 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 13 4 -
Jaylen Brown * 33 4-12 2-7 2-3 3 4 1 0 1 12 7 -
Aron Baynes * 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Marcus Morris Sr. 27 4-9 2-5 4-4 6 1 0 0 3 14 9 -
Shane Larkin 23 3-6 0-1 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 8 7 -
Terry Rozier 20 2-7 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 4 -1 -
Daniel Theis 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Abdel Nader 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Semi Ojeleye 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter