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2018-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 96.4% 3.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Margin 89.7% 10.3% -11.9 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 84.6% 15.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 84.7% 15.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.2% 26.8% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls -7 (112-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 37 12-22 7-13 7-9 4 2 0 1 3 38 20 -
Kevin Durant * 35 6-15 0-5 7-7 8 7 1 0 0 19 20 -
Stephen Curry * 34 10-18 6-11 4-4 9 4 1 0 6 30 20 -
Zaza Pachulia * 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 11 5 0 0 0 6 19 -
Jordan Bell * 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kevon Looney 29 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Nick Young 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 2 3 -
Omri Casspi 17 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
Patrick McCaw 15 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
Shaun Livingston 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -1 -
David West 14 2-5 0-0 2-3 1 3 0 1 1 6 5 -
JaVale McGee 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Holiday * 32 2-12 2-8 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 8 1 -
Kris Dunn * 29 7-17 1-4 1-1 5 4 3 0 1 16 10 -
Lauri Markkanen * 29 4-12 2-7 1-1 8 2 0 1 0 11 10 -
Robin Lopez * 22 8-11 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 16 7 -
Zach LaVine * 19 2-12 0-5 1-1 3 2 1 0 1 5 -2 -
Nikola Mirotic 27 9-13 4-7 2-2 6 3 3 1 3 24 21 -
David Nwaba 26 3-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 2 0 1 8 11 -
Denzel Valentine 25 3-10 1-4 3-4 7 7 0 0 1 10 13 -
Bobby Portis 17 6-10 0-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 12 10 -
Jerian Grant 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -

* = starter