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2018-01-17

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% - โœ“
Margin 67.6% 32.4% -4.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 67.9% 32.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.5% 42.5% - โœ“

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -5 (95-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 37 13-24 0-1 8-8 8 3 0 2 2 34 21 -
Pau Gasol * 29 5-8 1-1 2-4 12 7 0 0 1 13 23 -
Danny Green * 27 2-6 1-2 4-7 2 1 3 1 0 9 10 -
Tony Parker * 25 3-12 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 8 1 -
Kyle Anderson * 22 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 1 2 2 2 -
Patty Mills 25 7-10 7-8 4-6 2 2 3 0 1 25 21 -
Bryn Forbes 22 2-9 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 -2 -
Dejounte Murray 22 1-5 0-0 1-2 9 3 2 0 2 3 10 -
Davis Bertans 21 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
Joffrey Lauvergne 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Paul 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spencer Dinwiddie * 35 3-13 0-5 3-5 1 13 2 0 0 9 12 -
DeMarre Carroll * 34 3-9 2-3 3-4 11 1 0 0 2 11 12 -
Allen Crabbe * 31 7-12 4-6 2-3 8 3 0 0 1 20 18 -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson * 19 3-6 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 1 5 7 2 -
Tyler Zeller * 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Joe Harris 32 7-13 4-9 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 18 7 -
Caris LeVert 21 4-11 2-7 3-4 2 2 0 0 2 13 4 -
Quincy Acy 19 1-5 1-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
Jarrett Allen 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 6 5 -
Jahlil Okafor 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 7 -

* = starter