Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.2% | 25.8% | -5.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +7 (108-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 34 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 27 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Green | 28 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tarik Black | 20 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Briante Weber | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 39 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Eric Moreland * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 32 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 32 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 8-11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Buycks | 22 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Boban Marjanović | 11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
* = starter