Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -3 (113-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 10-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 27 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 23 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Maxi Kleber * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 25 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris | 15 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 17-28 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 35 | - |
| Paul George * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 9-11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 32 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Josh Huestis * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Raymond Felton | 22 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alex Abrines | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Terrance Ferguson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter