Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.5 | ✗ (28.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✗ (29.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -24 (87-111). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Allen Crabbe * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson * | 22 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Joe Harris | 29 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 23 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Quincy Acy | 20 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jarrett Allen | 19 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Nik Stauskas | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson * | 32 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Josh Richardson * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 23 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 28 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Bam Adebayo | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Walton Jr. | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Mickey | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Matt Williams Jr. | 6 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter