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2017-12-28

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 19.6% 80.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 22.9% 77.1% - ✓
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 ✓ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 30.3% 69.7% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +12 (119-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Lee * 39 7-15 2-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 18 5 -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 33 6-16 1-2 5-6 7 1 0 6 1 18 15 -
Jarrett Jack * 31 3-11 0-1 2-2 4 5 0 0 0 8 6 -
Enes Freedom * 17 5-10 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 12 7 -
Lance Thomas * 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 0 3 -
Michael Beasley 32 9-13 0-0 5-5 12 4 2 1 1 23 28 -
Frank Ntilikina 31 4-11 1-2 0-0 3 11 3 0 1 9 14 -
Kyle O'Quinn 16 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 8 9 -
Doug McDermott 15 3-6 1-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 9 8 -
Ron Baker 8 0-1 0-0 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 35 8-19 0-2 9-12 5 4 0 2 1 25 16 -
Kyle Anderson * 29 4-4 0-0 8-8 8 0 1 0 1 16 20 -
Tony Parker * 29 6-9 0-0 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 14 10 -
Pau Gasol * 25 7-11 1-2 2-3 11 7 0 0 0 17 24 -
Danny Green * 22 5-8 5-8 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 15 12 -
Bryn Forbes 27 4-9 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 4 -
Manu Ginobili 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 2 0 -
Patty Mills 20 1-5 1-3 3-3 3 5 0 0 3 6 6 -
Rudy Gay 17 2-7 0-1 2-4 7 2 0 1 0 6 9 -
Dejounte Murray 8 3-4 0-0 2-7 1 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
Brandon Paul 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Davis Bertans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter