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2017-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% - โœ—
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.7 โœ— (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 30.7% 69.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 30.7% 69.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -10 (99-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Gasol * 32 4-10 0-2 3-3 9 5 0 3 4 11 14 -
Jarell Martin * 31 8-10 0-0 4-4 8 0 0 2 1 20 19 -
Tyreke Evans * 31 8-17 2-6 14-15 7 7 0 0 2 32 27 -
Dillon Brooks * 30 2-5 1-2 0-2 1 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
Andrew Harrison * 28 4-12 0-4 7-9 1 2 0 0 1 15 5 -
Mario Chalmers 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 5 5 -
Chandler Parsons 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 5 3 -
Kobi Simmons 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Deyonta Davis 15 5-6 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 2 0 14 14 -
James Ennis III 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 2 4 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 44 9-20 0-0 5-11 4 4 1 2 5 23 9 -
Jordan Clarkson * 37 7-17 5-9 3-5 4 2 0 1 2 22 10 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 35 4-10 1-4 7-7 2 2 1 0 0 16 11 -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 4-24 1-11 0-0 8 1 2 0 1 9 -5 -
Andrew Bogut * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 1 2 10 -
Josh Hart 29 3-5 1-2 2-2 8 2 0 0 0 9 14 -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 5-7 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 0 0 12 16 -
Julius Randle 11 2-5 0-0 2-6 3 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
Corey Brewer 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Alex Caruso 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Tyler Ennis 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 -1 -

* = starter