Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +17 (124-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 4-16 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 20 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| CJ Miles | 22 | 6-12 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Fred VanVleet | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Pascal Siakam | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Delon Wright | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Norman Powell | 9 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Lucas Nogueira | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 36 | 11-17 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 25 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 11-22 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Andre Roberson * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 23 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Raymond Felton | 17 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Huestis | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Alex Abrines | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dakari Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Terrance Ferguson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter