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2017-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +3.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +3 (128-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 46 8-20 2-9 3-3 7 8 0 0 1 21 15 -
Gary Harris * 41 3-10 2-6 2-2 3 6 0 0 1 10 8 -
Nikola Jokiฤ‡ * 41 5-11 1-3 11-12 9 4 2 1 2 22 25 -
Wilson Chandler * 29 3-8 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 8 5 -
Mason Plumlee * 25 4-8 0-0 3-6 8 1 0 0 1 11 11 -
Will Barton 33 10-17 4-8 4-5 3 5 0 0 1 28 18 -
Trey Lyles 31 8-13 4-8 3-3 10 0 0 1 1 23 20 -
Torrey Craig 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Darrell Arthur 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler III * 42 10-20 3-6 16-18 4 5 1 0 1 39 28 -
Andrew Wiggins * 42 7-13 5-8 2-5 3 0 0 1 0 21 12 -
Taj Gibson * 40 9-12 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 1 0 20 15 -
Jeff Teague * 35 5-12 1-3 0-0 5 10 2 0 0 11 16 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 30 6-12 2-3 0-0 13 6 0 4 3 14 22 -
Jamal Crawford 26 6-11 0-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 12 5 -
Gorgui Dieng 21 2-6 1-3 1-2 5 1 0 1 0 6 7 -
Tyus Jones 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Nemanja Bjelica 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
Marcus Georges-Hunt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter