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2017-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - ✓
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.2 ✓ (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 17.2% 82.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 17.1% 82.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 23.9% 76.1% - ✓

Actual: Toronto Raptors +33 (120-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Harris * 30 3-8 0-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 -1 -
Caris LeVert * 25 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -4 -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 22 3-9 0-2 1-2 2 5 0 0 3 7 2 -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson * 21 4-7 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
Tyler Zeller * 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
Isaiah Whitehead 33 5-10 2-3 1-2 2 3 2 0 4 13 6 -
Nik Stauskas 28 6-9 5-7 5-5 7 2 0 0 2 22 20 -
Quincy Acy 25 1-4 0-2 5-6 7 1 0 0 3 7 8 -
Jahlil Okafor 22 5-11 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 10 2 -
Timofey Mozgov 16 2-5 0-0 3-3 4 2 0 1 2 7 7 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 30 4-9 2-5 0-0 10 12 4 0 1 10 26 -
DeMar DeRozan * 29 14-19 1-2 2-4 3 1 2 0 1 31 17 -
Serge Ibaka * 28 8-15 2-4 0-0 8 2 0 1 2 18 12 -
OG Anunoby * 21 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 3 5 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 21 7-11 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 14 9 -
Jakob Poeltl 26 5-6 0-1 1-3 4 1 0 2 1 11 11 -
Norman Powell 22 5-8 1-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 11 11 -
Pascal Siakam 19 3-9 0-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
Delon Wright 15 3-8 0-2 1-1 0 2 1 0 0 7 2 -
Fred VanVleet 13 3-5 0-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 7 3 -
Alfonzo McKinnie 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Lorenzo Brown 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter