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2017-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +9 (121-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 39 10-15 3-4 3-4 6 6 1 0 2 26 22 -
Lonzo Ball * 37 5-11 3-8 0-0 8 11 2 0 6 13 17 -
Josh Hart * 32 4-11 1-4 2-2 10 2 1 1 1 11 13 -
Brook Lopez * 22 4-10 0-2 0-2 1 2 0 1 1 8 1 -
Larry Nance Jr. * 21 3-7 0-0 0-2 12 3 2 0 0 6 16 -
Kyle Kuzma 30 8-16 1-5 3-3 7 1 0 0 4 20 8 -
Jordan Clarkson 25 5-13 1-7 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 11 1 -
Julius Randle 21 6-9 0-0 1-1 4 3 0 1 2 13 10 -
Corey Brewer 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 3 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 38 8-18 1-6 8-12 12 12 2 2 5 25 30 -
Kevin Love * 34 9-15 4-6 6-6 11 3 2 1 2 28 28 -
JR Smith * 31 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 3 1 1 1 8 10 -
Jae Crowder * 24 5-11 1-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 11 1 -
Jose Calderon * 23 6-9 5-8 0-0 3 6 2 0 2 17 17 -
Jeff Green 24 3-9 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
Dwyane Wade 22 3-9 1-2 3-4 2 6 0 0 2 10 7 -
Kyle Korver 21 4-6 1-3 1-1 1 0 1 1 0 10 7 -
Cedi Osman 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
Channing Frye 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter