Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -12 (89-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| James Johnson * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 28 | 9-19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 24 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Tyler Johnson | 27 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 25 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 22 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Bam Adebayo | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Allen Crabbe * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 32 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jarrett Allen | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Quincy Acy | 16 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Isaiah Whitehead | 16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jacob Wiley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter