Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | -7.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -23 (95-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 35 | 13-22 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 25 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 8-17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Eric Gordon | 30 | 9-18 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 28 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute | 27 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Briante Weber | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tarik Black | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Demetrius Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Lonzo Ball * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 27 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson | 20 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -6 | - |
| Julius Randle | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Josh Hart | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Ennis | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ivica Zubac | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter