Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +15 (115-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 23 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson | 28 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 26 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Josh Hart | 22 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Julius Randle | 21 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 4-9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 5-15 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 8-20 | 5-8 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Trey Lyles | 29 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Will Barton | 28 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Emmanuel Mudiay | 14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter