Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +5 (120-115). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Oladipo * | 38 | 14-22 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 31 | - |
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 21 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis | 20 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 18 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Leaf | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 9-21 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 25 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 21 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 25 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Pascal Siakam | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Fred VanVleet | 24 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| CJ Miles | 16 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Norman Powell | 15 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
* = starter