Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 39 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 7-7 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 30 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Fred VanVleet | 28 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Norman Powell | 26 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Pascal Siakam | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Lucas Nogueira | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lorenzo Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 38 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Victor Oladipo * | 29 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis | 26 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 22 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| T.J. Leaf | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter