Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +5 (129-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 41 | 13-26 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 18 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 40 | 7-22 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 36 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 23 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Mike Scott | 18 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 14 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Tim Frazier | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 40 | 8-22 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 37 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 37 | 9-17 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 18 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Cody Zeller | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Dwayne Bacon | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter