Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | -6.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.3% | 38.7% | -2.5 | ✓ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -24 (87-111). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 37 | 8-19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 36 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 12 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Georges-Hunt | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 33 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Maxi Kleber * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 24 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 20 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Devin Harris | 14 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Antonius Cleveland | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nerlens Noel | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter