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2017-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% +6.3 ✓ (0.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% - ✓
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 ✓ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Pacers +7 (107-100). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 35 5-10 0-0 1-2 15 5 1 3 5 11 20 -
Avery Bradley * 33 6-13 3-5 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 16 9 -
Tobias Harris * 29 6-16 1-5 2-2 5 2 1 1 0 15 8 -
Reggie Jackson * 28 7-14 2-5 0-0 2 7 0 0 3 16 8 -
Stanley Johnson * 24 1-9 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 3 -3 -
Luke Kennard 24 5-8 3-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 13 8 -
Ish Smith 19 5-10 1-1 4-4 2 2 0 0 1 15 8 -
Anthony Tolliver 18 2-5 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 6 8 -
Langston Galloway 13 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 -
Eric Moreland 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 0 5 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Oladipo * 39 6-19 5-10 4-7 15 4 1 1 4 21 19 -
Thaddeus Young * 39 8-14 1-4 1-4 5 4 1 0 0 18 14 -
Bojan Bogdanović * 34 6-12 3-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 15 6 -
Darren Collison * 31 6-10 2-3 2-2 1 6 1 1 1 16 14 -
Myles Turner * 23 3-13 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 3 0 7 3 -
Cory Joseph 26 1-3 1-1 2-2 6 2 0 0 0 5 10 -
Domantas Sabonis 24 4-11 0-1 4-4 10 0 1 0 1 12 11 -
Lance Stephenson 18 5-7 2-2 1-2 8 2 0 0 3 13 13 -
T.J. Leaf 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter