Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | +6.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +7 (107-100). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 29 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 28 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Stanley Johnson * | 24 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 24 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Ish Smith | 19 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 18 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Langston Galloway | 13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Eric Moreland | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Oladipo * | 39 | 6-19 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 39 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 31 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 23 | 3-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 26 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis | 24 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 18 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| T.J. Leaf | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter