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2017-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 64.3% 35.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Margin 68.6% 31.4% -4.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.9% 31.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.0% 42.0% - โœ“

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -7 (102-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 31 5-9 1-4 3-4 4 3 3 0 2 14 13 -
Jayson Tatum * 30 6-9 2-3 5-6 4 0 3 1 1 19 17 -
Al Horford * 30 8-10 1-2 0-0 11 3 0 0 2 17 19 -
Kyrie Irving * 29 8-20 2-5 7-8 3 5 1 0 2 25 12 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 25 8-12 2-3 3-3 10 1 0 0 3 21 17 -
Marcus Smart 34 1-8 0-3 4-4 5 2 0 0 3 6 2 -
Terry Rozier 20 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Aron Baynes 12 0-4 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 1 1 0 -1 -
Daniel Theis 11 1-5 1-3 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
Semi Ojeleye 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Shane Larkin 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spencer Dinwiddie * 34 4-14 1-6 3-5 3 11 0 1 1 12 12 -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson * 32 7-13 0-0 2-4 9 1 0 0 2 16 11 -
Allen Crabbe * 32 5-10 5-8 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 15 12 -
DeMarre Carroll * 30 3-11 1-5 2-2 7 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
Trevor Booker * 27 5-10 0-1 2-2 8 2 1 0 3 12 10 -
Caris LeVert 22 6-7 2-2 1-3 1 4 1 0 3 15 11 -
Quincy Acy 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 2 2 0 4 -
Joe Harris 19 7-14 5-11 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 19 9 -
Jarrett Allen 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Isaiah Whitehead 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Timofey Mozgov 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter