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2017-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 69.1% 30.9% - โœ“
Margin 72.1% 27.9% -5.2 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.3% 28.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 71.4% 28.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -9 (92-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 37 9-21 0-2 6-9 5 5 3 0 4 24 12 -
Kyle Lowry * 36 4-14 3-7 0-0 10 12 2 0 1 11 20 -
Serge Ibaka * 33 8-10 0-1 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 18 15 -
Pascal Siakam * 24 8-10 1-3 1-2 5 1 2 0 0 18 16 -
Norman Powell * 20 1-8 0-3 1-1 1 2 1 0 2 3 -3 -
CJ Miles 25 3-9 2-7 1-2 2 0 1 2 0 9 5 -
Jakob Poeltl 18 3-5 0-0 1-1 7 1 1 2 1 7 12 -
OG Anunoby 18 2-8 1-3 2-3 1 1 1 0 0 7 2 -
Fred VanVleet 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 2 0 -
Delon Wright 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 31 2-7 1-4 0-0 7 6 2 0 4 5 9 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 27 1-5 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
Brook Lopez * 23 6-14 0-3 1-2 5 2 1 3 3 13 7 -
Brandon Ingram * 23 3-9 0-2 3-4 2 1 0 0 3 9 0 -
Larry Nance Jr. * 16 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
Kyle Kuzma 32 7-14 1-5 0-0 10 1 0 0 4 15 8 -
Julius Randle 23 6-8 0-1 6-8 5 3 1 1 1 18 19 -
Corey Brewer 22 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 3 0 1 0 3 9 -
Josh Hart 20 4-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 1 0 9 12 -
Jordan Clarkson 13 4-11 1-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 11 -2 -
Tyler Ennis 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter