Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.0% | 20.0% | -5.9 | ✓ (42.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.7% | 17.3% | -8.6 | ✓ (39.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -48 (76-124). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 29 | 10-20 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 32 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Shabazz Napier | 22 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Caleb Swanigan | 17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ed Davis | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jake Layman | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jackson * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 29 | 5-18 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Warren * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Devin Booker * | 27 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dragan Bender | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Ulis | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Marquese Chriss | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Alec Peters | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mike James | 10 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
* = starter