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2017-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 54.7% 45.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 41.5% 58.5% +1.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -7 (93-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nicolas Brussino * 36 4-8 4-8 3-3 8 2 2 0 3 15 16 -
Dwight Powell * 34 2-11 2-9 6-6 3 0 1 0 2 12 3 -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 30 3-9 1-5 0-0 5 5 1 0 1 7 8 -
Yogi Ferrell * 28 2-9 1-4 2-3 1 5 1 1 2 7 4 -
DeAndre Liggins * 24 3-6 0-1 2-3 7 0 2 0 0 8 11 -
Nerlens Noel * 22 4-8 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 1 2 10 9 -
Devin Harris * 19 6-12 0-5 3-4 2 8 1 0 1 15 13 -
Jarrod Uthoff * 19 4-6 0-1 3-4 1 1 0 1 0 11 8 -
AJ Hammons * 12 3-4 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 2 1 9 7 -
Salah Mejri * 11 2-2 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 6 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wayne Selden * 31 4-7 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
Andrew Harrison * 24 2-6 0-3 4-6 4 1 1 2 0 8 10 -
Marc Gasol * 24 5-13 1-2 2-2 8 4 0 2 2 13 12 -
Troy Daniels * 24 1-9 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 3 -5 -
Vince Carter * 22 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 5 6 -
JaMychal Green * 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
Zach Randolph * 19 7-14 0-1 1-1 5 2 0 0 2 15 6 -
Wade Baldwin IV * 18 3-8 0-1 3-3 4 0 2 0 4 9 3 -
Mike Conley * 17 5-9 2-5 3-4 2 2 1 0 0 15 11 -
Brandan Wright * 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 4 7 -
Tony Allen * 5 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Deyonta Davis 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Jarell Martin 6 1-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 4 5 -

* = starter