Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (110-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheldon Mac * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Tomas Satoransky * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 30 | 10-13 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 27 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 25 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu * | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 14 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Chris McCullough | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| James Johnson * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 36 | 11-21 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 10 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 30 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 30 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Rodney McGruder * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Willie Reed * | 14 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Okaro White * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter