Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (113-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ish Smith * | 34 | 8-20 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 29 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 28 | 6-18 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Stanley Johnson * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Boban Marjanović * | 20 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jon Leuer * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Henry Ellenson * | 19 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Darrun Hilliard * | 13 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 11-20 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 27 | - |
| Elfrid Payton * | 31 | 10-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 27 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 27 | 8-15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Mario Hezonja * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 18 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Patricio Garino * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Marcus Georges-Hunt * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Zimmerman * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter