Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -18 (91-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 35 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Malik Beasley * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 28 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 17 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yogi Ferrell * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 27 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 27 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Nicolas Brussino * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dwight Powell * | 22 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 19 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Jarrod Uthoff * | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Nerlens Noel * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Salah Mejri * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| AJ Hammons | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter