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2017-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (24.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +27 (103-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Lamb * 33 7-18 1-7 6-6 5 2 2 0 3 21 9 -
Brian Roberts * 28 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 4 -3 -
Treveon Graham * 25 5-10 0-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 10 6 -
Miles Plumlee * 25 0-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 0 4 -
Frank Kaminsky * 25 3-11 0-3 0-1 1 2 0 0 1 6 -3 -
Briante Weber * 24 3-9 1-3 3-4 0 2 1 0 2 10 2 -
Cody Zeller * 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 0 4 9 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 19 4-10 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 10 8 -
Christian Wood * 13 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Marvin Williams * 12 2-9 1-4 2-2 6 0 2 0 1 7 5 -
Nicolas Batum * 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 0 3 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schröder * 25 3-5 0-0 2-2 3 9 1 0 3 8 13 -
Dwight Howard * 24 7-9 0-0 5-7 12 1 0 1 2 19 22 -
Taurean Prince * 22 4-7 0-2 0-1 1 1 1 0 0 8 4 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 22 3-7 1-4 2-2 5 3 0 0 1 9 9 -
Paul Millsap * 21 5-10 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 10 3 -
Mike Dunleavy * 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 3 4 -
Kent Bazemore * 18 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 8 7 -
Mike Muscala * 17 4-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 8 7 -
Jose Calderon * 17 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 7 6 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 15 3-9 1-4 3-4 6 2 0 0 0 10 9 -
Thabo Sefolosha 15 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
Kris Humphries 10 1-4 1-2 2-2 4 0 3 0 1 5 7 -
Malcolm Delaney 8 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 4 4 -

* = starter