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2017-04-10

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 53.0% 47.0% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +1 (99-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Lee * 28 2-6 0-0 3-6 8 2 0 2 2 7 11 -
Kyle Anderson * 24 2-6 0-1 2-2 4 2 3 0 2 6 7 -
Dewayne Dedmon * 21 1-4 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 1 3 7 -
Danny Green * 20 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 5 7 -
Kawhi Leonard * 20 8-11 1-2 1-1 0 0 1 1 2 18 7 -
Tony Parker * 19 5-7 0-0 2-2 2 4 0 0 0 12 11 -
Pau Gasol * 18 2-10 1-1 2-2 13 1 0 1 0 7 12 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 18 5-8 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 12 9 -
Patty Mills * 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 5 0 -
Manu Ginobili * 15 4-7 3-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 11 2 -
Dāvis Bertāns * 13 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 2 3 -
Jonathon Simmons * 12 3-6 0-0 1-3 0 1 0 0 0 7 2 -
Bryn Forbes * 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Noah Vonleh * 37 6-9 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 0 0 12 15 -
Shabazz Napier * 36 9-20 4-7 10-11 6 5 0 0 4 32 19 -
Pat Connaughton * 34 6-10 3-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 15 12 -
Meyers Leonard * 33 5-7 3-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 13 13 -
Evan Turner * 29 7-17 1-3 1-1 3 7 1 0 3 16 7 -
Jake Layman * 29 2-15 0-4 0-0 4 1 2 1 1 4 -4 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 25 1-6 1-4 2-2 4 1 1 2 0 5 7 -
Tim Quarterman * 13 1-5 0-2 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter