Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (124-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 46 | 14-25 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 18 | - |
| JR Smith * | 39 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 36 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 30 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kay Felder * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Larry Sanders | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 46 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 39 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| James Johnson * | 36 | 7-17 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 33 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Rodney McGruder * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 23 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Okaro White * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Willie Reed * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter