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2017-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 59.0% 41.0% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% - βœ“
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 βœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 55.0% 45.0% - βœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -9 (111-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 36 11-20 3-8 2-2 2 5 2 1 1 27 16 -
Jeff Teague * 33 4-8 0-2 7-8 2 6 1 0 3 15 13 -
Thaddeus Young * 33 10-15 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 1 20 16 -
Myles Turner * 28 6-8 0-0 6-6 13 1 3 3 4 18 26 -
Monta Ellis * 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 2 6 -
CJ Miles * 21 4-10 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
Lance Stephenson * 20 3-7 0-0 0-1 2 5 0 0 0 6 6 -
Kevin Seraphin * 19 8-10 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 1 17 13 -
Aaron Brooks * 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
Lavoy Allen * 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 2 8 -
Rakeem Christmas 0 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * 36 8-12 4-5 4-4 5 3 1 0 2 24 19 -
T.J. McConnell * 36 5-8 0-1 2-2 5 8 3 0 5 12 15 -
Richaun Holmes * 33 6-14 0-3 5-6 6 2 1 0 0 17 12 -
Nik Stauskas * 26 4-8 2-4 5-5 0 2 0 0 1 15 8 -
Dario Šarić * 24 3-10 1-4 5-6 6 3 2 1 4 12 10 -
Alex Poythress * 23 5-8 5-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 15 8 -
Justin Anderson * 21 1-4 0-2 4-4 0 0 1 0 2 6 1 -
Shawn Long * 5 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Gerald Henderson 22 2-6 1-4 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
Tiago Splitter 8 0-2 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 2 2 -

* = starter